
Putin said Moscow’s warnings about strikes around Victory Day helped prompt a three-day ceasefire, framing the pause as linked to Russian security measures. Despite that explanation, both sides have accused each other of breaches, underscoring the fragile nature of the pause. Scenario analysis that explores five possible war outcomes highlights these competing narratives and emphasizes watching ceasefire compliance and subsequent diplomatic or military moves to assess whether the comment reflects genuine progress toward an end to the war.
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