
US forecasters say the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is likely to produce fewer named storms than normal as a strengthening El Niño develops, but they stress it only takes one storm to cause major damage. They point to Hurricane Melissa — a Category 5 that struck Jamaica with preliminary losses of roughly $6–7 billion — as an example of the outsized impact a single cyclone can have. Forecasters also note that El Niño typically suppresses Atlantic activity while boosting Pacific typhoon activity, a pattern tied to the unusually powerful storms now appearing in the Western Pacific.
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