U.S. and Israeli assessments indicate Mojtaba Khamenei is alive but currently lacks real control over Iran’s leadership, with well-placed sources saying the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is effectively running the regime. This reinforces earlier signs — including a staged state TV address and public doubts about who holds power — and suggests a significant shift in internal authority toward the IRGC. The power shift could reshape decision-making in Tehran and increase the Guard’s influence over domestic and regional policy.
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