Intel report warns large-scale war ‘unlikely’ to oust Iran’s regime - The Washington Post

A classified National Intelligence Council assessment concluded that even a large-scale U.S. military campaign — whether short or protracted — would probably not remove Iran’s ruling elite or lead to the opposition seizing power. The report says Iran’s regime is entrenched and that military action would likely produce uncertain, fragmented outcomes rather than decisive regime change. DNI Tulsi Gabbard’s testimony to the Senate Intelligence Committee — that the regime is degraded but still intact and that U.S. intelligence gave mixed messages on Iran’s nuclear status before the war — reinforces the view that Tehran is weakened but not on the verge of collapse.