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U.S., Israel launch heaviest strikes on Iran as markets bet war will end soon - Honolulu Star-Advertiser
Overview
The U.S. and Israel carried out heavy airstrikes on Iran while markets rallied on hopes that diplomatic moves and a presidential address could lead to de‑escalation. The surge in optimism coincided with sizable, well-timed bets on Polymarket predicting a ceasefire placed hours before the address, prompting congressional calls for investigation. This raises questions about whether market signals reflected genuine policy shifts or were amplified by targeted betting.
Entities
ORGPentagonORGIsraelORGUnited StatesORGHonolulu Star-Advertiserglobal markets
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