
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie led the holiday frame with a blockbuster global debut, demonstrating strong family turnout and franchise strength. Lucasfilm’s Mandalorian and Grogu, now targeting about a $160M global opening, adds direct family/franchise competition over Memorial Day and could pull some audience share from Mario in the domestic market. Adult‑leaning releases expected the same weekend still present a split in audience demand, but Mario’s family focus should help preserve much of its core turnout.
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